StateFeud — Put your money where your mouth is

Blue America

California · California gas price

Traders give 50% odds: Will average gas prices be above $5.6500?

Coastal elites, meet the order book.

50%

Yes — long it No — short it

1,080 contracts traded · closes Aug 28 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

New York · New York gas price

Traders give 37% odds: Will average gas prices be above $4.1850?

If blue states are thriving, this is free money. Right?

37%

Yes — long it No — short it

282 contracts traded · closes Aug 28 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

New York City · NYC billionaires lost

Traders give 33% odds: How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

Coastal elites, meet the order book.

33%

Yes — long it No — short it

2,882 contracts traded · closes Dec 31 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Red America

Nevada · Nevada house price index

Traders give 78% odds: Will Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 423.62?

Heartland cope or heartland comeback? Price it.

78%

Yes — long it No — short it

6,795 contracts traded · closes Feb 28 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

West Virginia · West Virginia population

Traders give 23% odds: Will West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 be above 1,766,147?

Red America says it's booming. The market has a number.

23%

Yes — long it No — short it

1,638 contracts traded · closes Dec 31 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

The whole country is the battleground

America · US average gas price

Traders give 37% odds: Will average gas prices be above $4.08?

Your uncle has opinions. Traders have receipts.

37%

Yes — long it No — short it

1,475 contracts traded · closes Aug 31 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

America · US median existing-home price

Traders give 57% odds: Will Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N) for August 2026 be above $430,000?

Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.

57%

Yes — long it No — short it

329 contracts traded · closes Sep 10 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

America · US median new-home price

Traders give 75% odds: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $380,000?

Your uncle has opinions. Traders have receipts.

75%

Yes — long it No — short it

4 contracts traded · closes Sep 24 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

America · US new home sales

Traders give 44% odds: Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 660,000?

Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.

44%

Yes — long it No — short it

40 contracts traded · closes Sep 24 · trades on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)