StateFeud
US average gas price56%yesUS median existing-home price48%yesUS median new-home price55%yesUS new home sales45%yesNevadahouse price index82%yesNYCbillionaires lost51%yesWest Virginiapopulation26%yesOregonsemiconductor jobs16%yesKentuckydistillery jobs12%yesUS recession20%yesUS inflation48%yesHouse control 202691%yesSenate control 202667%yesICE removals43%yesHottest year on record74%yesUS climate goals18%yesEV market share44%yesUS measles cases33%yesHHS vaccine policy17%yesMedicaid funding restored50%yesCongressional pay raise49%yes
America · Hottest year on record

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

74%yes

Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.

Take the bet ↗

The full board

LineYes oddsVolume
Hottest78%30,721
Hottestthe bet above74%443,397

Odds are midpoints of live bid/ask on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). Closes Jan 1, 2027.