America · US median new-home price

Will the typical new-build cost more than $395K?

55%yes

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The full board

LineYes oddsVolume
Above $375K90%210
Above $380K84%214
Above $385K76%131
Above $390K66%522
Above $400K43%164
Above $405K33%382
Above $410K23%0
Above $415K15%0
Above $420K10%0
Above $425K7%0
Above $430K5%50

Odds are midpoints of live bid/ask on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). Closes Nov 25, 2026.