Immigration

Will ICE deport more than 450,000 people in FY2026?

43% chance · 29,041 contracts

Blue side ↗

“The deportation numbers are mostly talk.”

buys NO

Red side ↗

“The mass deportations are actually happening.”

buys YES

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Odds are live bid/ask midpoints on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). StateFeud doesn’t take bets; each side sends you to the market.