StateFeud
US average gas price56%yesUS median existing-home price48%yesUS median new-home price55%yesUS new home sales45%yesNevadahouse price index82%yesNYCbillionaires lost51%yesWest Virginiapopulation26%yesOregonsemiconductor jobs16%yesKentuckydistillery jobs12%yesUS recession20%yesUS inflation48%yesHouse control 202691%yesSenate control 202667%yesICE removals43%yesHottest year on record74%yesUS climate goals18%yesEV market share44%yesUS measles cases33%yesHHS vaccine policy17%yesMedicaid funding restored50%yesCongressional pay raise49%yes

Climate & Energy

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

74% chance · 443,397 contracts

Blue side ↗

“The climate crisis is real.”

buys YES

Red side ↗

“The climate crisis is overblown.”

buys NO

See the full board for this market →

Odds are live bid/ask midpoints on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). StateFeud doesn’t take bets; each side sends you to the market.

More Climate & Energy fights

Will EVs be above 30% of US car sales by 2030?