Will US measles cases top 7,000 this year?
33%yes
This number doesn't care who you voted for.
The full board
| Line | Yes odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Above 5,000 | 99% | 100 |
| Above 6,000 | 76% | 294,158 |
| Above 7,000the bet above | 33% | 3,419 |
| Above 8,000 | 21% | 179,441 |
| Above 9,000 | 13% | 509 |
| Above 10,000 | 9% | 169,713 |
Odds are midpoints of live bid/ask on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). Closes Jan 1, 2027.