Everyone is fleeing America.- some guy on the internet
That's a lot of talk. Here's what actual money says about America, with live odds from real, regulated markets. Agree with the doomers? There's a bet for that. Think they're full of it? Take the other side. Put your money where your mouth is.
Will the US average gas price hold above $4.2?
Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.
166,449 contracts · closes Oct 31 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will the typical US home cost more than $405K?
Talk is free. This isn't.
5,929 contracts · closes Nov 12 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will the typical new-build cost more than $395K?
Talk is free. This isn't.
461 contracts · closes Nov 25 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will US new-home sales top 640,000?
Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.
3,888 contracts · closes Nov 25 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will there be a recession in 2027?
Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.
770,138 contracts · closes Jan 31 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will 2026 inflation come in above 4%?
This number doesn't care who you voted for.
16,637 contracts · closes Jan 13 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
The comment section argues. The order book settles.
23,878,908 contracts · closes Feb 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
The comment section argues. The order book settles.
8,996,426 contracts · closes Feb 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will ICE deport more than 450,000 people in FY2026?
This number doesn't care who you voted for.
29,041 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
The comment section argues. The order book settles.
443,397 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will the US meet its climate goals by 2030?
Talk is free. This isn't.
12,357 contracts · closes Dec 31 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will EVs be above 30% of US car sales by 2030?
Vibes don't settle contracts. Data does.
15,133 contracts · closes May 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will US measles cases top 7,000 this year?
This number doesn't care who you voted for.
3,419 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will HHS cut kids' vaccines to under 11 diseases before Jan 1, 2027?
Vibes don't settle contracts. Data does.
549 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will CA and MN get their frozen Medicaid money back before Jan 1, 2027?
Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.
354 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Will Congress get a pay raise before Jan 1, 2029?
Vibes don't settle contracts. Data does.
209 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)